Predictions

We think Nawayef South goes on sale by the end of January 2027 with Homes, Heights and Mansions again, and that its Homes start between AED 7.5M and AED 9M. Vi.ki's own predictions on Nawayef, each with a date it can be checked by.

0:26 Two Nawayef hills are drawn and sold in Modon's films; what follows is what we think happens with the third.

These are Vi.ki's own predictions and opinions, not reported facts. Each one says what we base it on and when it can be checked. We will mark each one right or wrong when it resolves.

When will Nawayef South go on sale?

We think Modon opens sales of Nawayef South between Dec 1, 2026 and Jan 31, 2027.

Confidence: Likely. Check by: Feb 2027.

Why we think so: Modon told the broker Emigeo that the launch is in December 2026 (Homes.me), and Modon's launches this year came close together: Hudayriyat Golf Estates and Bashayer's final phase in July, Wadeem Gardens on Sep 30 (How Modon Launches Sold). We allow a month of slip because nothing is in writing.

What would prove us wrong: no sales of a third Nawayef hill by the end of January 2027.

Will it have Homes, Heights and Mansions again?

We think Nawayef South is announced with the same three collections as the first two hills.

Confidence: Likely. Check by: Mar 2027.

Why we think so: the west and east hills both use Homes, Heights and Mansions, and Modon keeps a matching set of 19 brochures for each (Floor Plans).

What would prove us wrong: a South hill sold under different collection names, or without one of the three.

Will Modon reuse the same designs?

We think at least 12 of the 19 existing designs return on Nawayef South under the same type numbers.

Confidence: Possible. Check by: Mar 2027.

Why we think so: the east hill repeated the west hill's designs one for one, down to the 432 sq m of Homes Type 1 (Nawayef West). A third use is cheaper than a new design book, though two years of sales may have shown Modon which types to drop.

What would prove us wrong: brochures for South in which fewer than 12 of today's types appear.

Will the Mansions be held back at launch?

We think the first release of Nawayef South leaves out the Mansions.

Confidence: Likely. Check by: Mar 2027.

Why we think so: on the east hill Modon sold the Homes and the smaller Heights first and said the larger Heights and the Mansions would follow (Nawayef East). Its page still showed the Mansions' price as "TBC" two years later.

What would prove us wrong: Mansions with prices in South's first price list.

What will a Nawayef South Home cost?

We think the Homes collection on Nawayef South starts between AED 7.5M and AED 9M.

Confidence: Possible. Check by: Feb 2027.

Why we think so: the east hill's Homes started at AED 6.6M in November 2024, about AED 1,657 per sq ft by our arithmetic (Prices and Home Types). Since then Modon has listed Wadeem Gardens villas from AED 8.7M on the same island, and a developer whose launches sell in days has room to raise the next price.

What would prove us wrong: a published starting price for South's Homes below AED 7.5M or above AED 9M.

Will the payment plan be 40/60?

We think Nawayef South is sold on a 40/60 plan with 10% down.

Confidence: Possible. Check by: Feb 2027.

Why we think so: it is the east hill's plan and the one Modon lists for Hudayriyat Golf Estates (Payment Plan). The doubt is Wadeem Gardens, which Modon listed at 25/75 in September 2026.

What would prove us wrong: any other split in South's published terms.

Will bank finance be offered off plan?

We think Modon offers Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank's off-plan home finance on Nawayef South.

Confidence: Possible. Check by: Mar 2027.

Why we think so: Modon and the bank introduced the product in July 2026 and attached it to the Wadeem Gardens launch on Sep 30, 2026. A product launched three months before South is unlikely to skip it, though buyers of hillside villas may need it less.

What would prove us wrong: South's launch material with no off-plan finance offer.

How fast will it sell?

We think Modon announces in a press release that Nawayef South's first release sold out within 48 hours.

Confidence: Likely. Check by: Feb 2027.

Why we think so: Modon has issued a sell-out release for five Hudayriyat launches since May 2025, none slower than "within days" (How Modon Launches Sold). The earlier hills got no such release, so the release itself is half of the prediction.

What would prove us wrong: no sell-out announcement within two months of the launch, or one that gives more than 48 hours.

When will Nawayef South be handed over?

We think Modon gives Nawayef South a handover date in 2030.

Confidence: Possible. Check by: Mar 2027.

Why we think so: repeating the east hill's 49 months from a December 2026 launch would land in January 2031, but the main contract and infrastructure for the neighboring hills are already awarded (Handover and Construction), and Hudayriyat Golf Estates, launched in mid 2026, is listed for Q3 2030.

What would prove us wrong: a published handover date outside 2030.

Will Nawayef East be handed over on time?

We think the first Nawayef East homes are handed over after December 2028.

Confidence: Possible. Check by: Mar 2029.

Why we think so: the main construction contract was awarded in December 2025, which leaves 36 months for 735 villas on two man-made hills, some of them over 2,000 sq m with basements. Modon has published no progress report since.

What would prove us wrong: owners receiving east hill homes in or before December 2028.

Will there be a fourth hill?

We think Modon announces no fourth Nawayef hill before the end of 2028.

Confidence: Likely. Check by: Dec 2028.

Why we think so: Emigeo reports Modon describing South as the last of the hills, and the island's newer land has gone to other products: the golf estate, Wadeem's plots and Wadeem Gardens (Hudayriyat Island).

What would prove us wrong: a Modon release or page for another Nawayef hill by then.

Will South get a clubhouse of its own?

We think Nawayef South is announced with its own clubhouse, separate from the one the first two hills share.

Confidence: Long shot. Check by: Mar 2027.

Why we think so: Bashayer's villas were sold with their own clubhouse and rooftop pool, and a third hill adds enough homes to fill one. Against it, a shared clubhouse in the valley is the cheaper plan (Masterplan and Amenities).

What would prove us wrong: launch material that points South's residents to the existing Nawayef clubhouse.

Our take

We think the most important fact about Nawayef South today is how little of it exists in writing. One sentence to a broker is carrying a launch month, a sell-out record and the word "last". All three may be true. None can be checked yet, and a buyer should hold every page that states a South price before Modon does, including a broker's, to that standard.

We think the east hill is a fair guide to South's shape and a poor guide to its price. The designs, the collections and the phasing are habits a developer repeats. The price is set by the market on the day, and that market now includes 1,700 golf estate homes sold on the same island five months earlier.

We think the question nobody selling these hills will raise is delivery. No Nawayef hill home has been handed over, and the first test of Modon's dates comes in December 2028, two years after South's buyers will have signed.